Ladies, I love you. The 31 pages of material you gave me for the Ladies Blog post is great. But it is taking me forever to get through that. So in lieu of that for the time being, time to make up for my 1-2 showing in the Elite 8 to get you my Final Four picks. Probably gonna throw up the MLB preview this weekend, too, so be looking for that, the Ladies Blog, and a suggestion from our man Jeremy. Final Four quick picks are brought to you unofficially by People Magazine, which the wife is reading while sitting next to me on the couch.
Butler (-1) v. Michigan State - Wife's prediction on this line: "Sparty by 5." When I told her what it was: "What the F?" Yeah, me, too. Butler hasn't lost since like December 22nd. Sparty is still without their point guard and has won its four tourney games by a total of 13 points. Living on the edge and winning, sign of a veteran team with the most underrated coach in the NCAA, and maybe in sports history. 6 Final Fours in 12 years for Izzo. Unreal. They said on Sportscenter that if you were a four year senior at State in the past 12 years, you were guaranteed to have been to a Final Four. I mean... I really don't know what more to stay about that.
Anyways, that line seems somewhat fishy to me. I think State should be about a 1-2 point favorite, and trust me, I learned from the Butler/K-State game that I will never ignore Logical Betting rules again. When the line seems fishy, stay away or bet the other way. If Butler wins this, and I think they will, it will have me scared s***less the whole time at the bar that my nightmare final comes true. I don't think I have to tell you who I'm NOT pulling for in the next game. Go ahead and bet this one, kids, but not too hard. This is Izzo we're talking about here, remember. The pick: Butler 70, Michigan State 61.
Duke (-2.5) v. West Virginia - In the second game, we have the matchup of the last remaining true #1 seed, West Virginia, against committee darling and pseudo #1 Duke. I really want to see a Sparty v. WVU final. The only worry I have about WVU winning it all is this random story: Back in March, a friend of mine was heading to Vegas and I had her put some cash on future bets for me. I was going between Villanova and WVU to win the tourney. At the time, WVU was kind of cold, and 'Nova was looking good. I went with 'Nova. 'Nova immediately went on that losing streak, and WVU all of the sudden went on a tear. Dammit. I still love them, though, that team is tough as nails.
On the flip side, WVU, like Sparty, is playing without their point guard, though could get him back for the final if they get there. Need we say more about Coach K? I think not. WVU can match up pretty well with the Duke bigs, and Singler better not play like he did against Baylor because Duke is finally playing with the big boys here. That line is right, though the wife thought Duke would be a 5 point favorite... possible baby brain going there, though, sticking with the same line. She didn't think too hard about them because, as she would put it, she has a life. Logical Betting rules say if you really don't know who's gonna win, if you MUST bet, take the points. However, Logical Betting rules state you should never get in a spot where you MUST bet that doesn't involve a gun to your head. Stay away from this one, kids, no cash down. The pick: WVU 65, Duke 63.
Butler v. WVU... probably not the most watched final in history. But I'll be watching for sure. Christmas is almost over... *tears* Fah-T, I need a hug.
0 comments:
Post a Comment